Inspired by Spitznagel's tail-hedging framework — fragility is measurable before it's fatal. CrashSignal tracks the systemic conditions that precede collapses: valuations, credit spreads, vol structure, margin debt, and market concentration. Not a crystal ball. A pressure gauge.
Mark Spitznagel didn't make $1 billion in a day by predicting the 2015 flash crash. He made it by staying permanently positioned for extreme fragility — buying cheap insurance when the market underpriced tail risk.
The insight is simple: you can't time crashes, but you can measure the conditions that make them more likely. Overvalued markets with compressed credit spreads, high leverage, and concentrated positioning are fragile. They don't need a specific catalyst — any shock will do.
CrashSignal scores market fragility in real time across six dimensions. When the score is high, the cost of tail insurance is worth paying. When it's low, stay deployed. It's not a trading signal. It's a risk posture signal.
Composite Fragility Score updates daily. Full Access members receive alerts when the score crosses threshold levels.
It's included free with WealthSignal Full Access — the bundle that gives you Auto execution across Oil, Bitcoin, and Congress, plus the fragility monitor that ties it all together.
CrashSignal measures market fragility indicators for informational purposes only. Fragility scores are not financial advice, investment recommendations, or predictions of future market performance. All data is illustrative until live data feeds are connected. Past fragility readings have no guaranteed relationship to future market outcomes. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Not suitable for all investors.